Drought Early Warning and Forecasting: Theory and Practice – Ebook PDF Instant Delivery – ISBN(s): 9780128140116,0128140119
Product details:
- ISBN:
- Author: Chris Funk , Shraddhanand Shukla
Drought risk management involves three pillars: drought early warning, drought vulnerability and risk assessment, and drought preparedness, mitigation, and response. This book collects in one place a description of all the key components of the first pillar, and describes strategies for fitting these pieces together. The best modern drought early warning systems incorporate and integrate a broad array of environmental information sources: weather station observations, satellite imagery, land surface and crop model simulations, and weather and climate model forecasts, and analyze this information in context-relevant ways that take into account exposure and vulnerability. Drought Early Warning and Forecasting: Theory and Practice assembles a comprehensive overview of these components, providing examples drawn from the Famine Early Warning Systems Network and the United States Drought Monitor. This book simultaneously addresses the physical, social, and information management aspects of drought early warning, and informs readers about the tools, techniques, and conceptual models required to effectively identify, predict, and communicate potential drought-related disasters.
Table of contents:
1. Droughts, governance, disasters, and response systems
2. Drought early warning—definitions, challenges, and opportunities
3. Drought early warning systems
4. Tools of the trade 1—weather and climate forecasts
5. Tools of the trade 2—land surface models
6. Tools of the trade 3—mapping exposure and vulnerability
7. Theory—understanding atmospheric demand in a warming world
8. Theory—indices for measuring drought severity
9. Sources of drought early warning skill, staged prediction systems, and an example for Somalia
10. Practice—evaluating forecast skill
11. Practice—integrating observations and climate forecasts
12. Practice—actionable information and decision-making networks
13. Final thoughts
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